Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Baltika to win @ 2.44 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika to win ✓46% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.05
Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika preview and prediction
The match
The Cup sees Krylia Sovetov take on Baltika on Wednesday 14 October, kicking off at 14:15 (WAT) at Solidarnost Samara Arena.
Form guide
Krylia Sovetov's last 5: DDWDD Most recently they drew with Spartak Moscow 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Baltika's last 5: DLDLD Most recently they drew with Akhmat 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Baltika 0–0 Krylia Sovetov. Across their last 3 meetings Krylia Sovetov have won 0, Baltika 2, with 1 draw and 1.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Krylia Sovetov and 1.1 for Baltika. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Krylia Sovetov 31%, draw 23%, Baltika 46%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Baltika to win at 2.44 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Krylia Sovetov 0–1 Baltika. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Krylia Sovetov31%fair 3.25 · @3.15
Draw23%fair 4.28 · @3.14
Baltika46%fair 2.18 · @2.44
1.88Expected goals
0.80Krylia Sovetov xG
1.08Baltika xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–015%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Krylia Sovetov 0.8 – 1.1 Baltika expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
On our numbers Krylia Sovetov have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baltika 46%.
How many goals will there be in Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
Our predicted score is Krylia Sovetov 0–1 Baltika, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika?
Krylia Sovetov vs Baltika (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time) at Solidarnost Samara Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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