Cup · Russia · Nizhny Novgorod Stadium
Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl prediction & analysis
Nizhny Novgorod to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Nizhny Novgorod 2.0 – 0.8 Shinnik Yaroslavl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Nizhny Novgorod are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 17% for Shinnik Yaroslavl.
Nizhny Novgorod have taken 16 points from their last 6 matches (5W 1D 0L), scoring 3.0 and conceding 0.7 per game. Shinnik Yaroslavl have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. Nizhny Novgorod come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Nizhny Novgorod, 0.8 for Shinnik Yaroslavl). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Nizhny Novgorod have won 1, Shinnik Yaroslavl have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Nizhny Novgorod to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is better than our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Nizhny Novgorod to win ✓ | 67% | 1.48 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.54 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.45 |
| Half-time result | Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time ✓ | 46% | 2.16 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod ✓ | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.26 | – |
Form
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Enisey | 5–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | vs Leningradets | 6–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Torpedo Moskva | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Sep | @ Dinamo Stavropol | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ FC Sochi | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Volga Ulyanovsk | 2–2 | D |
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Tekstilshchik | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Ska-khabarovsk | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Sep | vs KAMAZ | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sep | vs Ural | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Sep | vs Torpedo Moskva | 2–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Rotor Volgograd | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
| 2 Aug 2026 | Nizhny Novgorod v Shinnik Yaroslavl | 3–0 |
More Cup predictions
League hub
Ska-khabarovsk2
Dinamo Kirov0
Enisey2
Kaluga0
Leningradets2
Luki-Energiya0
Krylia Sovetov0
Baltika2
Volga Ulyanovsk0
Murom0
Akhmat1
Dynamo2
Dinamo Makhachkala1
Zenit2
Chertanovo Moscow2
Tekstilshchik1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Our pick is Nizhny Novgorod to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
On our numbers Nizhny Novgorod have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Shinnik Yaroslavl 17%.
How many goals will there be in Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl?
Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Nizhny Novgorod Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.