Cup · Russia · Arena Chertanovo
Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
Value bet: Tekstilshchik to win @ 1.86 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Chertanovo Moscow 0.8 – 1.9 Tekstilshchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Tekstilshchik travel as clear favourites – 62% to win, against 13% for Chertanovo Moscow.
Chertanovo Moscow have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Tekstilshchik have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded. Chertanovo Moscow come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.8 for Chertanovo Moscow, 1.9 for Tekstilshchik). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 50%. Most likely scores: 0–1 (12%), 0–2 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Tekstilshchik to win at 1.86 is our value angle (62% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Tekstilshchik to win ✗ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.86 ▲ |
| Double chance | Tekstilshchik or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.14 | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 1.84 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 73% | 1.36 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | 1.71 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Tekstilshchik ahead at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Tekstilshchik / FT Tekstilshchik ✗ | 41% | 2.45 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 12% | 8.14 | – |
Form
Chertanovo Moscow – last 6
| 11 Oct | vs Baltika II | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Oct | @ Yenisey II | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sep | vs Kosmos Dolgoprudny | 4–2 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Dinamo St. Petersburg | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Sep | vs FK Neftekhimik | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Sep | vs Cherepovets | 2–0 | W |
Tekstilshchik – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Shinnik Yaroslavl | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Sep | vs Rotor Volgograd | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sep | @ Leningradets | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Arsenal Tula | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Torpedo Moskva | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs Veles | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chertanovo Moscow and Tekstilshchik.
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Shinnik Yaroslavl0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?
On our numbers Chertanovo Moscow have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tekstilshchik 62%.
How many goals will there be in Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik?
Chertanovo Moscow vs Tekstilshchik (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Chertanovo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.