Cup · Russia · Roshchino Arena
Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.07 – our chance 54% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Leningradets 1.8 – 1.0 Luki-Energiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Leningradets hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 24% for Luki-Energiya.
Leningradets have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3 per game. Luki-Energiya have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. Luki-Energiya come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.8 for Leningradets, 1.0 for Luki-Energiya). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.43. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.07 is our value angle (54% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Leningradets to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.88 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.22 | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.86 | 2.07 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.42 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.52 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.13 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Leningradets / FT Leningradets ✗ | 34% | 2.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.02 | – |
Form
Leningradets – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Torpedo Moskva | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Volga Ulyanovsk | 1–0 | W |
| 17 Sep | @ Nizhny Novgorod | 0–6 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Tekstilshchik | 2–2 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ FK Sokol Saratov | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Ska-khabarovsk | 3–2 | W |
Luki-Energiya – last 6
| 11 Oct | @ Tver | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Oct | vs Iskra Smolensk | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sep | @ Murom | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | @ Zvezda St. Petersburg | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | vs Ural | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Sep | @ Torpedo Vladimir | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leningradets and Luki-Energiya.
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Shinnik Yaroslavl0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya?
On our numbers Leningradets have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Luki-Energiya 24%.
How many goals will there be in Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya?
Leningradets vs Luki-Energiya (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Roshchino Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.