Cup · Russia · Central Stadium (Krasnoyarsk)
Enisey vs Kaluga prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
Value bet: Kaluga to win @ 3.82 – our chance 39% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +49%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Enisey 1.3 – 1.3 Kaluga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Enisey and Kaluga on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 26% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Enisey have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Kaluga have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.6 goals (1.3 for Enisey, 1.3 for Kaluga). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (10%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Kaluga to win at 3.82 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Kaluga to win ✗ | 39% | 2.57 | 3.82 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.83 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.64 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.22 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 43% | 2.31 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Kaluga / FT Kaluga ✗ | 22% | 4.47 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 10% | 10.02 | – |
Form
Enisey – last 6
| 10 Oct | @ Nizhny Novgorod | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Chelyabinsk | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Sep | vs Arsenal Tula | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | @ Rotor Volgograd | 0–4 | L |
| 9 Sep | @ Druzhba | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs FK Neftekhimik | 0–2 | L |
Kaluga – last 6
| 10 Oct | vs Mashuk-KMV | 0–0 | D |
| 4 Oct | @ Rodina Moskva II | 0–3 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Dinamo Kirov | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Novosibirsk | 0–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Dinamo Vladivostok | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | vs FC UFA | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Enisey and Kaluga.
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Shinnik Yaroslavl0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Enisey vs Kaluga?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Enisey vs Kaluga?
On our numbers Enisey have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Kaluga 39%.
How many goals will there be in Enisey vs Kaluga?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Enisey vs Kaluga?
Enisey vs Kaluga (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Central Stadium (Krasnoyarsk).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.