Value bet: Dynamo to win @ 2.44 – our chance 46% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDynamo to win ✓46% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.12
Akhmat vs Dynamo preview and prediction
The match
Dynamo travel to Akhmat-Arena in the Cup on Wednesday 14 October (16:30 WAT) to face Akhmat.
Form guide
Akhmat's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Baltika 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Dynamo's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rubin 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dynamo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 September 2026, finished Dynamo 3–0 Akhmat.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Akhmat and 1.4 for Dynamo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Akhmat 33%, draw 21%, Dynamo 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.63.
Value angle: Dynamo to win at 2.44 – 46% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Akhmat 1–1 Dynamo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Akhmat33%fair 3.01 · @2.84
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.52
Dynamo46%fair 2.18 · @2.44
2.56Expected goals
1.14Akhmat xG
1.41Dynamo xG
60%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Akhmat 1.1 – 1.4 Dynamo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Akhmat vs Dynamo?
On our numbers Akhmat have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Dynamo 46%.
How many goals will there be in Akhmat vs Dynamo?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Akhmat vs Dynamo?
Our predicted score is Akhmat 1–1 Dynamo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Akhmat vs Dynamo?
Akhmat vs Dynamo (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 14 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Akhmat-Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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