Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Bolton to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlton to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Charlton vs Bolton preview and prediction
The match
Charlton host Bolton in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at The Valley. Charlton are 19th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Bolton sit 18th on 17 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Charlton's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bolton's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to Bristol City 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Bolton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Charlton and 1.4 for Bolton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlton 40%, draw 24%, Bolton 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Bolton to win at 3.10 – 36% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Charlton 1–1 Bolton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlton40%fair 2.48 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.40
Bolton36%fair 2.78 · @3.10
2.90Expected goals
1.50Charlton xG
1.40Bolton xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Charlton 1.5 – 1.4 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlton to win✗
40%
2.48
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlton / FT Charlton✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.55
–
Form
Charlton – last 6
LLLDDL
31 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Norwich
1–3
L
17 Oct
@ Watford
0–2
L
13 Oct
@ Burnley
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Bristol City
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Cardiff
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bolton – last 6
LLDWLW
31 Oct
vs Bristol City
2–3
L
23 Oct
vs Middlesbrough
1–5
L
17 Oct
@ Southampton
0–0
D
13 Oct
@ Wolves
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Stoke City
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Norwich
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Charlton and Bolton.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Charlton vs Bolton?
On our numbers Charlton have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bolton 36%.
How many goals will there be in Charlton vs Bolton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlton vs Bolton?
Our predicted score is Charlton 1–1 Bolton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Charlton vs Bolton?
Charlton vs Bolton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Valley.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
