Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorwich to win ✓51% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Derby vs Norwich preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Derby take on Norwich on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Pride Park Stadium. Derby are 23rd with 10 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Norwich sit 12th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Derby's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Millwall 1–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Norwich's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Watford 3–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Norwich arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 April 2026, finished Norwich 2–1 Derby.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Derby and 1.8 for Norwich. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Derby 28%, draw 21%, Norwich 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Derby 1–1 Norwich. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Derby28%fair 3.52 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Norwich51%fair 1.97 · @2.05
3.03Expected goals
1.26Derby xG
1.77Norwich xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Derby 1.3 – 1.8 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Derby vs Norwich?
On our numbers Derby have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Norwich 51%.
How many goals will there be in Derby vs Norwich?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Derby vs Norwich?
Our predicted score is Derby 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Derby vs Norwich?
Derby vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Pride Park Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
