Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: Birmingham to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBirmingham to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceBirmingham or draw ✓85% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.24
Birmingham vs Millwall preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Birmingham take on Millwall on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at St. Andrew's Stadium. Birmingham are 1st with 29 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Millwall sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Birmingham's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Lincoln 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Millwall's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Derby 4–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Birmingham arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 February 2026, finished Millwall 3–0 Birmingham.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Birmingham and 0.9 for Millwall. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Birmingham to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Birmingham or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Birmingham 2–0 Millwall. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Birmingham61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.60
Millwall15%fair 6.83 · @3.70
2.93Expected goals
2.01Birmingham xG
0.92Millwall xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Birmingham 2.0 – 0.9 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Birmingham vs Millwall?
Our pick is Birmingham or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Birmingham vs Millwall?
On our numbers Birmingham have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Millwall 15%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs Millwall?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Millwall?
Our predicted score is Birmingham 2–0 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Birmingham vs Millwall?
Birmingham vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at St. Andrew's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
