Watford host Lincoln in the Championship on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 20:45 (WAT) at Vicarage Road. Watford are 20th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Lincoln sit 21st on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Watford's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Norwich 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lincoln's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Birmingham 1–3 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Watford and 1.4 for Lincoln. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Watford 38%, draw 24%, Lincoln 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Watford 1–1 Lincoln. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Watford38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.30
Lincoln38%fair 2.65 · @2.80
2.72Expected goals
1.37Watford xG
1.35Lincoln xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Watford 1.4 – 1.4 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Watford to win✓
38%
2.61
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Watford / FT Watford✗
22%
4.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
11.13
–
Form
Watford – last 6
LLWLLL
31 Oct
@ Norwich
2–3
L
24 Oct
@ Wolves
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Charlton
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Cardiff
1–5
L
10 Oct
vs Burnley
0–4
L
18 Sep
@ Bristol City
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
LWDLLL
31 Oct
vs Birmingham
1–3
L
24 Oct
vs Burnley
4–1
W
17 Oct
@ Millwall
2–2
D
14 Oct
vs West Ham
0–6
L
10 Oct
@ Sheffield Utd
0–3
L
19 Sep
vs Swansea
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Watford and Lincoln.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Watford vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Watford have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lincoln 38%.
How many goals will there be in Watford vs Lincoln?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Watford vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Watford 1–1 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Watford vs Lincoln?
Watford vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
