Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Southampton to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouthampton to win ✗41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.42
West Brom vs Southampton preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees West Brom take on Southampton on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at The Hawthorns. West Brom are 5th with 28 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Southampton sit 7th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
West Brom's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat West Ham 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Southampton's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat QPR 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished West Brom 1–1 Southampton.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for West Brom and 1.5 for Southampton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: West Brom 35%, draw 24%, Southampton 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Southampton to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: West Brom 1–1 Southampton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
West Brom35%fair 2.86 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.30
Southampton41%fair 2.43 · @2.75
2.86Expected goals
1.36West Brom xG
1.50Southampton xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: West Brom 1.4 – 1.5 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win West Brom vs Southampton?
On our numbers West Brom have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Southampton 41%.
How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Southampton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Southampton?
Our predicted score is West Brom 1–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is West Brom vs Southampton?
West Brom vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
