Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
1
Value bet: QPR to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQPR to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceQPR or draw ✓81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.05
QPR vs Burnley preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees QPR take on Burnley on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 20:45 (WAT) at Loftus Road. QPR are 8th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Burnley sit 22nd on 10 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
QPR's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Southampton 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Burnley's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Portsmouth 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for QPR and 1.0 for Burnley. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: QPR 56%, draw 25%, Burnley 19%.
Safer route: QPR or draw (81%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: QPR to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was QPR or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: QPR 1–1 Burnley. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
QPR56%fair 1.78 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.60
Burnley19%fair 5.39 · @3.60
2.96Expected goals
1.92QPR xG
1.04Burnley xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: QPR 1.9 – 1.0 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
QPR to win✗
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Double chance
QPR or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.50
Half-time result
QPR ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT QPR / FT QPR✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
QPR – last 6
LWLWDD
31 Oct
@ Southampton
1–4
L
24 Oct
vs Swansea
5–0
W
17 Oct
@ Birmingham
0–3
L
14 Oct
vs Derby
4–1
W
9 Oct
@ West Ham
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Preston
2–2
D
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
DLLDWD
31 Oct
vs Portsmouth
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lincoln
1–4
L
16 Oct
vs Wolves
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Charlton
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
19 Sep
vs Derby
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Burnley.
Our pick is QPR or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win QPR vs Burnley?
On our numbers QPR have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Burnley 19%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Burnley?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Burnley?
QPR vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
