Championship · England · Vicarage RoadWatford vs Stoke City prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.75 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Watford 1.4 – 1.2 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Watford hold the edge on home soil with a 44% chance of winning, against 34% for Stoke City.
Watford have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.8 per game. Stoke City have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Watford, 1.2 for Stoke City). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (10%), 2–1 (9%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 57% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is close to our fair price of 1.75.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Watford to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 57% | 1.75 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.36 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Watford / FT Watford ✗ | 25% | 4.08 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 10% | 10.06 | – |
Form
Watford – last 6
| 8 Sep | vs Preston | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sep | @ West Brom | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Sep | @ Swansea | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | vs West Ham | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Aug | vs Peterborough | 1–5 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ Wrexham | 1–1 | D |
Stoke City – last 6
| 8 Sep | @ Cardiff | 1–1 | D |
| 5 Sep | vs Charlton | 4–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | vs Norwich | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Wolves | 1–4 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Hull City | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Aug | @ Southampton | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Watford and Stoke City.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Watford vs Stoke City?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Watford vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Watford have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stoke City 34%.
How many goals will there be in Watford vs Stoke City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Watford vs Stoke City?
Watford vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.