Championship · England · Swansea.com StadiumSwansea vs Wrexham prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Swansea 1.3 – 1.0 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Swansea hold the edge on home soil with a 47% chance of winning, against 31% for Wrexham.
Swansea have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.3 per game. Wrexham have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Swansea come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.3 for Swansea, 1.0 for Wrexham). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Swansea have won 0, Wrexham have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 54% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.75 is close to our fair price of 1.85.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Swansea to win ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Swansea / FT Swansea ✗ | 25% | 3.95 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.39 | – |
Form
Swansea – last 6
| 1 Sep | vs Watford | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Derby | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Sheffield Utd | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | @ Stoke City | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | vs Birmingham | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Leganes | 1–0 | W |
Wrexham – last 6
| 2 Sep | @ Millwall | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Aug | vs Birmingham | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Watford | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Aug | @ Cardiff | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | @ Middlesbrough | 0–1 | L |
| 2 Aug | vs Sunderland | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 13 Mar 2026 | Wrexham v Swansea | 2–0 |
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Swansea vs Wrexham?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Swansea vs Wrexham?
On our numbers Swansea have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wrexham 31%.
How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Wrexham?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Swansea vs Wrexham?
Swansea vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.