Lincoln host Southampton in the Championship on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at LNER stadium. Lincoln are 21st with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Southampton sit 7th on 24 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lincoln's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Blackburn 0–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Southampton's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Birmingham 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Lincoln and 1.8 for Southampton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lincoln 23%, draw 19%, Southampton 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Southampton to win – a 57% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.74, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lincoln 0–1 Southampton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lincoln23%fair 4.29 · @3.90
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.80
Southampton57%fair 1.74 · @1.80
2.88Expected goals
1.05Lincoln xG
1.83Southampton xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
1–06%
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.0 – 1.8 Southampton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southampton to win✗
57%
1.74
1.80
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Southampton ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southampton / FT Southampton✗
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.73
–
Form
Lincoln – last 6
DWWLLW
1 Sep
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Bolton
1–0
W
25 Aug
@ Blackpool
4–1
W
22 Aug
vs Portsmouth
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Derby
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Southampton – last 6
DWLWLW
1 Sep
@ Birmingham
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Millwall
5–1
W
25 Aug
vs West Ham
1–4
L
22 Aug
vs Stoke City
3–1
W
16 Aug
@ Watford
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Colchester
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Southampton.
What is the prediction for Lincoln vs Southampton?
Our pick is Southampton to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Lincoln vs Southampton?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Southampton 57%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Southampton?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Southampton?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 0–1 Southampton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Southampton?
Lincoln vs Southampton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at LNER stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
