Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: QPR to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓9% · fair 10.79
QPR vs Middlesbrough preview and prediction
The match
QPR host Middlesbrough in the Championship on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Loftus Road. QPR are 8th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Middlesbrough sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
QPR's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Cardiff 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Middlesbrough's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Burnley 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished QPR 0–4 Middlesbrough.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.3 for QPR and 1.5 for Middlesbrough. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: QPR to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: QPR 1–1 Middlesbrough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
QPR35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Middlesbrough42%fair 2.38 · @2.15
2.75Expected goals
1.30QPR xG
1.45Middlesbrough xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: QPR 1.3 – 1.5 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win QPR vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers QPR have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Middlesbrough 42%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is QPR 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Middlesbrough?
QPR vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
