Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Cardiff to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCardiff to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.86
Portsmouth vs Cardiff preview and prediction
The match
Portsmouth host Cardiff in the Championship on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Fratton Park. Portsmouth are 11th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Cardiff sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Portsmouth's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Derby 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Cardiff's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to QPR 1–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.6 for Portsmouth and 1.6 for Cardiff. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 63% and both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Cardiff to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–1 Cardiff. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portsmouth38%fair 2.65 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
Cardiff40%fair 2.53 · @2.75
3.25Expected goals
1.60Portsmouth xG
1.65Cardiff xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.6 – 1.6 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✗
40%
2.53
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.86
–
Form
Portsmouth – last 6
LLWLLD
1 Sep
vs Derby
0–2
L
29 Aug
@ Bristol City
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Lincoln
3–1
W
15 Aug
vs QPR
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ West Ham
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
LDLDDW
2 Sep
@ QPR
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Norwich
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Derby
2–2
D
17 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Swindon Town
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Cardiff.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cardiff 40%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Cardiff?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Cardiff?
Portsmouth vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
