Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
2
Value bet: Charlton to win @ 3.40 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStoke City to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 11.14
Stoke City vs Charlton preview and prediction
The match
Stoke City host Charlton in the Championship on Saturday 5 September, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Bet365 Stadium. Stoke City are 3rd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Charlton sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stoke City's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Norwich 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Charlton's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with West Brom 1–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Charlton arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Stoke City and 1.3 for Charlton. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stoke City 39%, draw 24%, Charlton 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Charlton to win at 3.40 – 37% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stoke City 1–1 Charlton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stoke City39%fair 2.56 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Charlton37%fair 2.74 · @3.40
2.75Expected goals
1.40Stoke City xG
1.35Charlton xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.4 – 1.3 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✓
39%
2.56
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✓
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.14
–
Form
Stoke City – last 6
WLDLLW
1 Sep
vs Norwich
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
25 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Southampton
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swansea
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Oldham
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Charlton – last 6
DWLWWW
2 Sep
@ West Brom
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs Preston
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ Tottenham
1–5
L
22 Aug
@ West Ham
2–1
W
15 Aug
vs Derby
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Cheltenham
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Charlton.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Charlton?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Stoke City vs Charlton?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charlton 37%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Charlton?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Charlton?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Charlton?
Stoke City vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
