Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorwich to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.24
Stoke City vs Norwich preview and prediction
The match
Stoke City host Norwich in the Championship on Tuesday 1 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at bet365 Stadium. Stoke City are 3rd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Norwich sit 12th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Stoke City's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Wolves 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Norwich's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Burnley 4–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Norwich arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 1.8 for Stoke City and 2.1 for Norwich. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stoke City 33%, draw 22%, Norwich 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Stoke City 1–2 Norwich. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stoke City33%fair 3.01 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.30
Norwich45%fair 2.22 · @2.30
3.83Expected goals
1.76Stoke City xG
2.07Norwich xG
65%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.8 – 2.1 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Norwich to win✗
45%
2.22
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Norwich ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Norwich / FT Norwich✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.24
–
Form
Stoke City – last 6
LDLLWD
29 Aug
@ Wolves
1–4
L
25 Aug
vs Hull City
1–1
D
22 Aug
@ Southampton
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Swansea
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Oldham
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Valencia
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Norwich – last 6
WWLLWD
29 Aug
vs Burnley
4–1
W
25 Aug
@ Cardiff
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Millwall
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs West Brom
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
4–1
W
4 Aug
vs Cambridge United
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Norwich.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Stoke City vs Norwich?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Norwich 45%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Norwich?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Norwich?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–2 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Norwich?
Stoke City vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at bet365 Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
