Value bet: Bristol City to win @ 2.70 – our chance 39% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBristol City to win ✓39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Preston vs Bristol City preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Preston take on Bristol City on Tuesday 1 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Deepdale. Preston are 24th with 8 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Bristol City sit 17th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Preston's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Charlton 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Bristol City's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Portsmouth 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Bristol City arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Preston and 1.4 for Bristol City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Preston 37%, draw 24%, Bristol City 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Bristol City to win at 2.70 – 39% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Preston 1–1 Bristol City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Preston37%fair 2.74 · @2.54
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Bristol City39%fair 2.54 · @2.70
2.74Expected goals
1.34Preston xG
1.40Bristol City xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Preston 1.3 – 1.4 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bristol City to win✓
39%
2.54
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bristol City / FT Bristol City✓
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
11.04
–
Form
Preston – last 6
LLLLDL
29 Aug
@ Charlton
0–1
L
26 Aug
vs Everton
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Wolves
1–3
L
15 Aug
@ Bolton
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Huddersfield
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Stockport County
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bristol City – last 6
WDLLDD
29 Aug
vs Portsmouth
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Birmingham
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Millwall
0–2
L
6 Aug
vs Walsall
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Plymouth
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Preston and Bristol City.
What is the prediction for Preston vs Bristol City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Preston vs Bristol City?
On our numbers Preston have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Bristol City 39%.
How many goals will there be in Preston vs Bristol City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Bristol City?
Our predicted score is Preston 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Preston vs Bristol City?
Preston vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Deepdale.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
