Championship · England · Sincil BankLincoln vs Blackburn prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 3.05 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.4 – 1.5 Blackburn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Lincoln and Blackburn on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 40% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Lincoln have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.7 per game. Blackburn have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (1.4 for Lincoln, 1.5 for Blackburn). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 0–1 (9%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.33. For a bigger price, Blackburn to win at 3.05 is our value angle (40% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Blackburn to win ✗ | 40% | 2.47 | 3.05 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 41% | 2.43 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Blackburn / FT Blackburn ✗ | 23% | 4.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.57 | – |
Form
Lincoln – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Bolton | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | @ Blackpool | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | vs Portsmouth | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Aug | @ Middlesbrough | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Aug | @ Derby | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Barnsley | 0–3 | L |
Blackburn – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs QPR | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Aug | vs Sheffield Utd | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | vs Middlesbrough | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | @ Wolves | 2–2 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Burton Albion | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Huddersfield | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Blackburn.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lincoln vs Blackburn?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Lincoln vs Blackburn?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Blackburn 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Blackburn?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
When is Lincoln vs Blackburn?
Lincoln vs Blackburn (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Sincil Bank.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.