Championship · England · Bramall LaneSheffield Utd vs Bolton prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sheffield Utd 1.5 – 0.5 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Sheffield Utd are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 15% for Bolton.
Sheffield Utd have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (2W 4D 0L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.5 per game. Bolton have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (1.5 for Sheffield Utd, 0.5 for Bolton). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (20%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (13%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.35 is better than our fair price of 1.29, so there is value in it. For a bigger price, Under 2.5 goals at 1.93 is our value angle (58% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sheffield Utd to win ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.70 ▲ |
| Double chance | Sheffield Utd or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.28 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.72 | 1.93 ▲ |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.35 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Sheffield Utd / FT Sheffield Utd ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 20% | 5.02 | – |
Form
Sheffield Utd – last 6
| 29 Aug | @ Cardiff | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Aug | @ Blackburn | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | @ Swansea | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Birmingham | 0–0 | D |
| 9 Aug | @ Mansfield Town | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ VfL Bochum | 0–0 | D |
Bolton – last 6
| 29 Aug | vs Lincoln | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | @ QPR | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | vs Preston | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Sheffield Wednesday | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs NAC Breda | 1–0 | W |
| 28 Jul | @ Fleetwood Town | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheffield Utd and Bolton.
Championship table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Birmingham | 15 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 |  Middlesbrough | 15 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |  Stoke City | 15 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 |  Swansea | 15 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 |  Southampton | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 |  QPR | 15 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 |  West Ham | 15 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 15 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 |  Norwich | 15 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 15 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 |  Cardiff | 15 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 |  Wrexham | 15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Millwall | 15 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 |  Bristol City | 15 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 15 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 15 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 |  Watford | 15 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 |  Lincoln | 15 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 15 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 15 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 |  Preston | 15 | -17 | 8 |
More Championship predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
On our numbers Sheffield Utd have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bolton 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 1 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bramall Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.