Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: QPR to win @ 1.90 – our chance 61% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultQPR to win ✗61% · @1.90
Double chanceQPR or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
QPR vs Bolton preview and prediction
The match
Bolton travel to Loftus Road Stadium in the Championship on Saturday 22 August (15:00 WAT) to face QPR. QPR are 8th with 24 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Bolton sit 18th on 17 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
QPR's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Portsmouth 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Bolton's last 5: WLWDD Most recently they beat Preston 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
QPR arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.1 for QPR and 1.0 for Bolton. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: QPR 61%, draw 21%, Bolton 18%.
Safer route: QPR or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Value angle: QPR to win at 1.90 – 61% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was QPR or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.21, so there is value in it. Predicted score: QPR 2–1 Bolton. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
QPR61%fair 1.63 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
Bolton18%fair 5.71 · @3.75
3.07Expected goals
2.06QPR xG
1.01Bolton xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: QPR 2.1 – 1.0 Bolton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
QPR to win✗
61%
1.63
1.90 ▲
Double chance
QPR or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.33
Half-time result
QPR ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT QPR / FT QPR✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
QPR – last 6
WDWWWW
15 Aug
@ Portsmouth
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Millwall
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
3–2
W
31 Jul
@ Bromley
7–0
W
25 Jul
vs Fiorentina
3–2
W
21 Jul
vs Wycombe
1–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Bolton – last 6
WLWDDW
15 Aug
vs Preston
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sheffield Wednesday
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs NAC Breda
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Everton
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Oldham
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Bolton.
Our pick is QPR or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win QPR vs Bolton?
On our numbers QPR have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bolton 18%.
How many goals will there be in QPR vs Bolton?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Bolton?
Our predicted score is QPR 2–1 Bolton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is QPR vs Bolton?
QPR vs Bolton (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Loftus Road Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
