Value bet: Blackburn to win @ 3.30 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Blackburn take on Middlesbrough on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ewood Park. Blackburn are 13th with 21 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Middlesbrough sit 2nd on 29 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Blackburn's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Wolves 2–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Middlesbrough's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Lincoln 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Blackburn and 1.7 for Middlesbrough. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Blackburn to win at 3.30 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Blackburn 1–1 Middlesbrough. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Blackburn32%fair 3.08 · @3.30
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Middlesbrough46%fair 2.18 · @2.12
3.03Expected goals
1.36Blackburn xG
1.67Middlesbrough xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Blackburn 1.4 – 1.7 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✗
46%
2.18
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Form
Blackburn – last 6
DWDWLW
14 Aug
@ Wolves
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ Burton Albion
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Huddersfield
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Strasbourg
2–0
W
22 Jul
@ Nottingham Forest
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Longridge Town
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Middlesbrough – last 6
WWDDLD
15 Aug
vs Lincoln
2–1
W
7 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Espanyol
3–3
D
18 Jul
@ Celtic
1–1
D
23 May
@ Hull City
0–1
L
12 May
@ Southampton
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Blackburn and Middlesbrough.
What is the prediction for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
On our numbers Blackburn have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 46%.
How many goals will there be in Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
Our predicted score is Blackburn 1–1 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Blackburn vs Middlesbrough?
Blackburn vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ewood Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
