Value bet: Portsmouth to win @ 2.76 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortsmouth to win ✓40% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Lincoln vs Portsmouth preview and prediction
The match
Lincoln host Portsmouth in the Championship on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Sincil Bank. Lincoln are 21st with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Portsmouth sit 11th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Lincoln's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Middlesbrough 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Portsmouth's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to QPR 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Lincoln arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Lincoln and 1.6 for Portsmouth. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lincoln 36%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Portsmouth to win at 2.76 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Lincoln 1–1 Portsmouth. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lincoln36%fair 2.81 · @2.48
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.25
Portsmouth40%fair 2.48 · @2.76
3.06Expected goals
1.47Lincoln xG
1.58Portsmouth xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lincoln 1.5 – 1.6 Portsmouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✓
40%
2.48
2.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✓
24%
4.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.51
–
Form
Lincoln – last 6
LWLWLL
15 Aug
@ Middlesbrough
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Derby
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Barnsley
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Doncaster
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Grimsby
1–5
L
17 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Portsmouth – last 6
LLDDLD
15 Aug
vs QPR
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ West Ham
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ Farnborough
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Wycombe
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and Portsmouth.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
On our numbers Lincoln have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Portsmouth 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
Our predicted score is Lincoln 1–1 Portsmouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lincoln vs Portsmouth?
Lincoln vs Portsmouth (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Sincil Bank.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
