NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 23 Jul 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultDraw ✗45% · @3.35

Double chanceFK Jablonec or draw ✗73% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.33

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.51

NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec preview and prediction

The match

NK Varazdin host FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Stadion Varteks.

Form guide

NK Varazdin's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Bihor Oradea 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

FK Jablonec's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

NK Varazdin arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for NK Varazdin and 1.1 for FK Jablonec. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 54%.

Betting angles

Win chances: NK Varazdin 27%, draw 45%, FK Jablonec 28%.
Safer route: FK Jablonec or draw (73%) at 1.40.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Draw at 3.35 – 45% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was FK Jablonec or draw – a 73% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: NK Varazdin 1–1 FK Jablonec. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

NK Varazdin27%fair 3.70 · @2.85

Draw45%fair 2.24 · @3.35

FK Jablonec28%fair 3.52 · @2.28

2.26Expected goals

1.17NK Varazdin xG

1.09FK Jablonec xG

54%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

1–012%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

1–27%

From our goals model: NK Varazdin 1.2 – 1.1 FK Jablonec expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Draw ✗	45%	2.24	3.35 ▲
Double chance	FK Jablonec or draw ✗	73%	1.37	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	56%	1.79	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	76%	1.32	1.33
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.14	–
Half-time / full-time	HT NK Varazdin / FT NK Varazdin ✗	21%	4.69	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–1 ✗	13%	7.51	–

Form

NK Varazdin – last 6

WWWWLW

12 Jul	@ Bihor Oradea	3–1	W
10 Jul	@ Radomlje	1–0	W
4 Jul	vs CSKA 1948	1–0	W
2 Jul	vs FC Voluntari	2–1	W
27 Jun	@ NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	1–2	L
23 May	vs Istra 1961	2–0	W

1.7Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

FK Jablonec – last 6

WWLDDW

15 Jul	vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv	1–0	W
12 Jul	vs VfL Osnabrück	1–0	W
11 Jul	@ FC Liefering	1–3	L
8 Jul	vs Pafos	0–0	D
3 Jul	vs Ústí nad Labem	1–1	D
26 Jun	vs Vlašim	2–1	W

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Panathinaikos	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Twente	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Brighton	3	2	1	0	+5	7
6	Brann	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	FC Copenhagen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
8	Universitatea Craiova	3	2	1	0	+4	7
9	Mjallby AIF	3	2	1	0	+4	7
10	St. Truiden	3	2	1	0	+3	7
11	Ajax	3	2	0	1	+6	6
12	Trabzonspor	3	2	0	1	+3	6
13	HNK Hajduk Split	3	2	0	1	+1	6
14	SC Freiburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
15	FK Crvena Zvezda	3	1	1	1	0	4
16	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	0	4
17	SC Braga	3	1	1	1	-1	4
18	Gent	3	1	1	1	-1	4
19	Riga	3	0	3	0	0	3
20	FC Thun	3	1	0	2	0	3
21	Borac Banja Luka	3	1	0	2	-1	3
22	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	1	0	2	-3	3
23	FK Jablonec	3	0	2	1	-1	2
24	Aarhus	3	0	2	1	-1	2
25	FC Nordsjaelland	3	0	2	1	-2	2
26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	3	0	2	1	-2	2
27	Kairat Almaty	3	0	2	1	-4	2
28	CSKA Sofia	3	0	1	2	-2	1
29	FC Iberia 1999	3	0	1	2	-3	1
30	Pafos	3	0	1	2	-4	1
31	Getafe	3	0	1	2	-4	1
32	Heart Of Midlothian	3	0	1	2	-4	1
33	KuPS	3	0	1	2	-4	1
34	FC Midtjylland	3	0	1	2	-6	1
35	Inter Club d'Escaldes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
36	Kauno Žalgiris	3	0	0	3	-10	0

Team

Pts

Universitatea Craiova

-1

-1

-1

-1

-3

-1

-1

-2

-2

-4

-2

-3

-4

-4

-4

-4

-6

Inter Club d'Escaldes

-5

Kauno Žalgiris

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

Our pick is FK Jablonec or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

On our numbers NK Varazdin have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 45% and FK Jablonec 28%.

How many goals will there be in NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

Our predicted score is NK Varazdin 1–1 FK Jablonec, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec?

NK Varazdin vs FK Jablonec (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Varteks.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

NK Varazdin