Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.55 – our chance 55% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMotherwell to win ✓65% · @1.13
Double chanceMotherwell or draw ✓83% · fair 1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Motherwell vs HB Torshavn preview and prediction
The match
Motherwell host HB Torshavn in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Fir Park.
Form guide
Motherwell's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Genk 3–4 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.
HB Torshavn's last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat 07 Vestur 4–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
HB Torshavn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.9 for Motherwell and 1.1 for HB Torshavn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.55 – 55% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Motherwell 1–1 HB Torshavn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Motherwell65%fair 1.55 · @1.13
Draw19%fair 5.39 · @6.40
HB Torshavn17%fair 5.95 · @20.00
3.04Expected goals
1.91Motherwell xG
1.13HB Torshavn xG
55%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Motherwell 1.9 – 1.1 HB Torshavn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Motherwell to win✓
65%
1.55
1.13
Double chance
Motherwell or draw✓
83%
1.20
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.55 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Half-time result
Motherwell ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Motherwell / FT Motherwell✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Motherwell – last 5
LLLLW
17 Jul
vs Genk
3–4
L
5 Jul
@ Aarhus
0–4
L
13 May
vs Celtic
2–3
L
18 Feb
@ Aberdeen
0–2
L
15 Feb
vs Aberdeen
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
HB Torshavn – last 6
WWLWLD
5 Jul
@ 07 Vestur
4–1
W
29 Jun
vs Skála
4–1
W
25 Jun
@ Vikingur Gota
0–4
L
21 Jun
@ B36 Torshavn
3–0
W
14 Jun
@ AB
1–3
L
30 May
vs Vikingur Gota
0–0
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Motherwell and HB Torshavn.
What is the prediction for Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?
On our numbers Motherwell have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and HB Torshavn 17%.
How many goals will there be in Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?
Our predicted score is Motherwell 1–1 HB Torshavn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Motherwell vs HB Torshavn?
Motherwell vs HB Torshavn (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Fir Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Malisheva2
Hibernian0
FK Liepaja0
Austria Vienna2
Alashkert1
CFR 1907 Cluj1
Panevėžys1
FK Tobol Kostanay1
HJK Helsinki5
Coleraine FC0
Flora Tallinn1
The New Saints0
Debreceni VSC1
Pyunik Yerevan0
Dila0
Apollon Limassol4