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Today's tips
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Cornaredo

FC Lugano

LWWDW
1–0
FT

Dukagjini

DWWWW

FC Lugano vs Dukagjini prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Lugano to win ✓74% · @1.18
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.65

FC Lugano vs Dukagjini preview and prediction

The match

Dukagjini travel to Cornaredo in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July (19:30 WAT) to face FC Lugano.

Form guide

FC Lugano's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to FC Vaduz 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Dukagjini's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv Sofia 3–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.4 for FC Lugano and 0.7 for Dukagjini. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 52%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FC Lugano 2–0 Dukagjini. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

FC Lugano74%fair 1.35 · @1.18
Draw18%fair 5.53 · @5.50
Dukagjini8%fair 12.71 · @16.00
3.06Expected goals
2.36FC Lugano xG
0.70Dukagjini xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: FC Lugano 2.4 – 0.7 Dukagjini expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Lugano to win ✓74%1.351.18
Double chanceFC Lugano or draw ✓92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.922.35 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.731.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.571.45
Half-time resultFC Lugano ahead at half-time ✓54%1.85–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Lugano / FT FC Lugano ✓50%1.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.65–

Form

FC Lugano – last 6

LWWDWW
17 Julvs FC Vaduz1–2L
10 Jul@ 1. FC Heidenheim1–0W
7 Jul@ Memmingen4–0W
4 Julvs Rapperswil1–1D
27 Junvs Neuchatel Xamax FC2–1W
17 Mayvs FC Basel 18934–0W
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Dukagjini – last 6

DWWWWD
4 Jul@ Lokomotiv Sofia3–3D
31 Mayvs Ballkani1–0W
24 May@ Prishtina e Re3–2W
21 May@ Ferizaj2–1W
17 Mayvs Drita2–0W
10 May@ Llapi0–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between FC Lugano and Dukagjini.

FC Lugano vs Dukagjini head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa Conference League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Lugano3300+79
2Panathinaikos3300+69
3Twente3300+69
4Monaco3300+69
5Brighton3210+57
6Brann3210+47
7FC Copenhagen3210+47
8Universitatea Craiova3210+47
9Mjallby AIF3210+47
10St. Truiden3210+37
11Ajax3201+66
12Trabzonspor3201+36
13HNK Hajduk Split3201+16
14SC Freiburg3201-16
15FK Crvena Zvezda311104
16Atalanta311104
17SC Braga3111-14
18Gent3111-14
19Riga303003
20FC Thun310203
21Borac Banja Luka3102-13
22Lincoln Red Imps FC3102-33
23FK Jablonec3021-12
24Aarhus3021-12
25FC Nordsjaelland3021-22
26Egnatia Rrogozhinë3021-22
27Kairat Almaty3021-42
28CSKA Sofia3012-21
29FC Iberia 19993012-31
30Pafos3012-41
31Getafe3012-41
32Heart Of Midlothian3012-41
33KuPS3012-41
34FC Midtjylland3012-61
35Inter Club d'Escaldes3003-50
36Kauno Žalgiris3003-100

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Malisheva2 Hibernian0 122%5.60X25%4.00253%1.51 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja0 Austria Vienna2 114%8.00X22%4.20264%1.37 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.25 ✓
FT Alashkert1 CFR 1907 Cluj1 127%3.65X43%3.20230%1.98 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.40 ✓
FT Panevėžys1 FK Tobol Kostanay1 126%3.30X43%3.25231%2.10 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓
FT HJK Helsinki5 Coleraine FC0 165%1.36X21%4.45214%7.70 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Flora Tallinn1 The New Saints0 126%2.26X41%3.50233%2.78 X2The New Saints or draw 74%@1.60 ✗
FT Debreceni VSC1 Pyunik Yerevan0 152%1.78X25%3.40223%4.20 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Dila0 Apollon Limassol4 120%3.95X22%3.30257%1.88 X2Apollon Limassol or draw 80%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Lugano vs Dukagjini?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win FC Lugano vs Dukagjini?

On our numbers FC Lugano have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Dukagjini 8%.

How many goals will there be in FC Lugano vs Dukagjini?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Lugano vs Dukagjini?

Our predicted score is FC Lugano 2–0 Dukagjini, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is FC Lugano vs Dukagjini?

FC Lugano vs Dukagjini (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Cornaredo.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.