AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem preview and prediction
The match
Beitar Jerusalem travel to AEK Arena in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 23 July (17:30 WAT) to face AEK Larnaca.
Form guide
AEK Larnaca's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Apollon Limassol 0–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Beitar Jerusalem's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Hapoel Tel Aviv 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for AEK Larnaca and 1.0 for Beitar Jerusalem. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was AEK Larnaca or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AEK Larnaca 1–0 Beitar Jerusalem. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Larnaca54%fair 1.84 · @1.88
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.40
Beitar Jerusalem22%fair 4.47 · @3.80
2.58Expected goals
1.58AEK Larnaca xG
0.99Beitar Jerusalem xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 1.6 – 1.0 Beitar Jerusalem expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win✗
54%
1.84
1.88
Double chance
AEK Larnaca or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
AEK Larnaca – last 6
DLLWWW
16 Jul
@ Apollon Limassol
0–0
D
10 Jul
@ Ajax
0–1
L
7 Jul
@ PAOK
2–3
L
4 Jul
@ Helmond Sport
2–1
W
22 May
@ Aris
4–3
W
6 May
vs Apollon Limassol
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Beitar Jerusalem – last 6
DDDDDW
18 Jul
vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2–2
D
7 Jul
@ Arda Kardzhali
0–0
D
3 Jul
@ Botev Vratsa
2–2
D
19 May
@ Hapoel Petah Tikva
0–0
D
12 May
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
1–1
D
6 May
@ Hapoel Tel Aviv
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Beitar Jerusalem.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our pick is AEK Larnaca or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Beitar Jerusalem 22%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 1–0 Beitar Jerusalem, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem?
AEK Larnaca vs Beitar Jerusalem (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 23 July 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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