Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceKashima or draw ✗88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 9.09
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
Kashima travel to Best Denki Stadium in the J1 League on Wednesday 2 September (11:00 WAT) to face Mito Hollyhock. Mito Hollyhock are 9th with 18 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mito Hollyhock's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Machida Zelvia 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kashima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Tokyo Verdy 2–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 May 2026, finished Kashima 3–0 Mito Hollyhock.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for Mito Hollyhock and 2.1 for Kashima. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashima or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mito Hollyhock 0–2 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mito Hollyhock12%fair 8.27 · @3.95
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.45
Kashima63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
3.03Expected goals
0.90Mito Hollyhock xG
2.14Kashima xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mito Hollyhock 0.9 – 2.1 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
On our numbers Mito Hollyhock have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kashima 63%.
How many goals will there be in Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Mito Hollyhock 0–2 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima?
Mito Hollyhock vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Best Denki Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka2
Cerezo Osaka2
Fagiano Okayama2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Nagoya Grampus0
Shimizu S-pulse1
Vissel Kobe2
V-varen Nagasaki2
Gamba Osaka2