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Today's tips
J1 League · Japan · Peace Stadium

V-varen Nagasaki

LWLLW
2–2
FT

Gamba Osaka

DWLDD

V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.71

V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction

The match

V-varen Nagasaki host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Peace Stadium. V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).

Form guide

V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Gamba Osaka's last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Gamba Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Gamba Osaka 3–2 V-varen Nagasaki.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for V-varen Nagasaki and 1.7 for Gamba Osaka. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

V-varen Nagasaki31%fair 3.23 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.40
Gamba Osaka48%fair 2.08 · @2.10
2.99Expected goals
1.30V-varen Nagasaki xG
1.69Gamba Osaka xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%

From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 1.3 – 1.7 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGamba Osaka to win ✗48%2.082.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79%1.271.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.36
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka ✗28%3.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.71–

Form

V-varen Nagasaki – last 6

LWLLWL
29 Augvs FC Tokyo0–3L
26 Augvs Ehime FC3–2W
21 Aug@ Kashiwa Reysol2–4L
15 Aug@ Fagiano Okayama0–1L
9 Augvs Kyoto Sanga2–1W
17 Jul@ Utrecht2–3L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Gamba Osaka – last 6

DWLDDW
29 Augvs Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–0D
26 Augvs Biwako Shiga2–0W
22 Aug@ Nagoya Grampus1–3L
15 Aug@ Mito Hollyhock1–1D
11 Aug@ Gangwon FC0–0D
7 Augvs Urawa4–3W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Gamba Osaka v V-varen Nagasaki3–2
V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub
FT Avispa Fukuoka2 Urawa3 145%2.35X23%3.10232%3.10 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.42 ✓
FT Cerezo Osaka2 Kashiwa Reysol0 131%3.10X21%3.50248%2.15 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT JEF United Chiba1 Fagiano Okayama2 119%3.85X24%3.50258%1.90 X2Fagiano Okayama or draw 81%@1.25 ✓
FT Machida Zelvia2 Kawasaki Frontale1 161%1.90X21%3.50217%3.85 1XMachida Zelvia or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT Mito Hollyhock4 Kashima2 112%3.95X25%3.45263%1.90 X2Kashima or draw 88%@1.22 ✗
FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima3 Nagoya Grampus0 162%1.50X19%4.20219%5.80 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Shimizu S-pulse1 FC Tokyo1 130%3.65X22%3.35249%2.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✓
FT Tokyo Verdy0 Vissel Kobe2 124%4.10X23%3.10253%2.00 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Gamba Osaka 48%.

How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka?

V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.