Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Gamba Osaka 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Fagiano Okayama 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus. Across their last 2 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 1, Nagoya Grampus 1, with 0 draws and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.9 for Nagoya Grampus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 62%, draw 19%, Nagoya Grampus 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.20
Nagoya Grampus19%fair 5.23 · @5.80
2.83Expected goals
1.91Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.92Nagoya Grampus xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9 – 0.9 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nagoya Grampus 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.