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J1 League · Japan · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus prediction & analysis

78%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓62% · @1.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction

The match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Gamba Osaka 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Nagoya Grampus's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Fagiano Okayama 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4–2 Nagoya Grampus. Across their last 2 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 1, Nagoya Grampus 1, with 0 draws and 4.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.9 for Nagoya Grampus. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima62%fair 1.61 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @4.20
Nagoya Grampus19%fair 5.23 · @5.80
2.83Expected goals
1.91Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.92Nagoya Grampus xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.9 – 0.9 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓62%1.611.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.651.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.791.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.521.50
Half-time resultSanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗38%2.62–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.10–

Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

DWDWWW
29 Aug@ Gamba Osaka0–0D
26 Augvs Okinawa SV4–1W
22 Augvs Kawasaki Frontale1–1D
15 Aug@ Urawa4–1W
8 Augvs JEF United Chiba3–0W
28 Julvs Verspah Oita4–0W
2.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nagoya Grampus – last 6

WLWLLL
29 Augvs Fagiano Okayama2–1W
26 Augvs Gainare Tottori1–3L
22 Augvs Gamba Osaka3–1W
15 Aug@ Kashima1–2L
8 Augvs Shimizu S-pulse0–1L
25 Jul@ Consadole Sapporo0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

23 May 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Nagoya Grampus4–2
18 Mar 2026Nagoya Grampus v Sanfrecce Hiroshima2–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Nagoya Grampus 19%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.