JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Fagiano Okayama or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Fagiano Okayama to win @ 1.90 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✓58% · @1.90
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.17
JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama preview and prediction
The match
JEF United Chiba host Fagiano Okayama in the J1 League on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Fukuda Denshi Arena. JEF United Chiba are 10th with 12 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Fagiano Okayama sit 6th on 26 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
JEF United Chiba's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Kawasaki Frontale 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Nagoya Grampus 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fagiano Okayama arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for JEF United Chiba and 1.8 for Fagiano Okayama. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%.
Safer route: Fagiano Okayama or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Fagiano Okayama to win at 1.90 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fagiano Okayama or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: JEF United Chiba 0–1 Fagiano Okayama. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JEF United Chiba19%fair 5.40 · @3.85
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.50
Fagiano Okayama58%fair 1.73 · @1.90
2.73Expected goals
0.93JEF United Chiba xG
1.81Fagiano Okayama xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–06%
0–36%
From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 0.9 – 1.8 Fagiano Okayama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✓
58%
1.73
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Fagiano Okayama or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Half-time result
Fagiano Okayama ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.17
–
Form
JEF United Chiba – last 6
LDLLLD
29 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–4
L
26 Aug
vs Azul Claro Numazu
0–0
D
21 Aug
@ FC Tokyo
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Machida Zelvia
0–4
L
8 Aug
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LWDWLL
29 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Beluga Rosso Iwami
3–0
W
22 Aug
vs Tokyo Verdy
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JEF United Chiba and Fagiano Okayama.
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our pick is Fagiano Okayama or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fagiano Okayama 58%.
How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 0–1 Fagiano Okayama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama?
JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka2
Cerezo Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Nagoya Grampus0
Shimizu S-pulse1
Vissel Kobe2
V-varen Nagasaki2
Gamba Osaka2