Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Sanfrecce Hiroshima take on Kawasaki Frontale on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 11:15 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kawasaki Frontale sit 4th on 28 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Urawa 4–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kawasaki Frontale's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Kyoto Sanga 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 June 2026, finished Kawasaki Frontale 0–1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Across their last 2 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 2, Kawasaki Frontale 0, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 1.0 for Kawasaki Frontale. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima64%fair 1.56 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.10
Kawasaki Frontale15%fair 6.78 · @4.50
3.26Expected goals
2.25Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
1.01Kawasaki Frontale xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 – 1.0 Kawasaki Frontale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kawasaki Frontale 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Kawasaki Frontale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:15 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka2
Fagiano Okayama0
Kyoto Sanga1
Cerezo Osaka1
Shimizu S-pulse0
Nagoya Grampus3
Gamba Osaka1
Vissel Kobe0