Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Tokyo Verdy to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.21
Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy travel to City Light Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 22 August (10:30 WAT) to face Fagiano Okayama. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat V-varen Nagasaki 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Fagiano Okayama and 1.1 for Tokyo Verdy. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fagiano Okayama 43%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Tokyo Verdy to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.00
Tokyo Verdy34%fair 2.97 · @3.50
2.34Expected goals
1.26Fagiano Okayama xG
1.08Tokyo Verdy xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.3 – 1.1 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✗
43%
2.34
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.21
–
Form
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
WLLLWL
15 Aug
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Cerezo Osaka
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ FC Schalke 04
1–3
L
22 Jul
@ Werder Bremen
0–2
L
21 Jul
@ Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
2–1
W
14 Jul
@ SV Wehen
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tokyo Verdy – last 6
LDLDLW
14 Aug
vs Kashiwa Reysol
1–3
L
9 Aug
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Gamba Osaka
2–4
L
30 May
@ Gamba Osaka
1–1
D
24 May
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–6
L
16 May
@ Mito Hollyhock
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Tokyo Verdy.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokyo Verdy 34%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–1 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy?
Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 10:30 (West Africa Time) at City Light Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.