Value bet: Mito Hollyhock to win @ 3.50 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKyoto Sanga to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock preview and prediction
The match
Kyoto Sanga host Mito Hollyhock in the J1 League on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera. Kyoto Sanga are 8th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Mito Hollyhock sit 9th on 18 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Kyoto Sanga's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Kawasaki Frontale 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Mito Hollyhock's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Gamba Osaka 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Kyoto Sanga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Kyoto Sanga and 1.2 for Mito Hollyhock. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Mito Hollyhock to win at 3.50 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Mito Hollyhock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kyoto Sanga45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.30
Mito Hollyhock33%fair 3.02 · @3.50
2.71Expected goals
1.48Kyoto Sanga xG
1.23Mito Hollyhock xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Kyoto Sanga 1.5 – 1.2 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kyoto Sanga to win✗
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kyoto Sanga / FT Kyoto Sanga✗
25%
3.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Kyoto Sanga – last 6
DLWLWL
15 Aug
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–2
D
9 Aug
@ V-varen Nagasaki
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–0
W
30 May
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–6
L
23 May
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–0
W
17 May
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
DLLLLL
15 Aug
vs Gamba Osaka
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Kashiwa Reysol
1–2
L
6 Jun
vs V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
30 May
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–1
L
24 May
vs Kawasaki Frontale
1–3
L
16 May
vs Tokyo Verdy
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock.
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
On our numbers Kyoto Sanga have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mito Hollyhock 33%.
How many goals will there be in Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our predicted score is Kyoto Sanga 1–1 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock?
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka2
Fagiano Okayama0
Cerezo Osaka1
Shimizu S-pulse0
Nagoya Grampus3
Gamba Osaka1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
Vissel Kobe0