Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse preview and prediction
The match
Shimizu S-pulse travel to Yodoko Sakura Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 22 August (11:00 WAT) to face Cerezo Osaka. Cerezo Osaka are 2nd with 31 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Shimizu S-pulse sit 7th on 24 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Cerezo Osaka's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Avispa Fukuoka 0–3 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Yokohama F. Marinos 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Cerezo Osaka and 1.1 for Shimizu S-pulse. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cerezo Osaka44%fair 2.26 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.45
Shimizu S-pulse35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
2.37Expected goals
1.28Cerezo Osaka xG
1.09Shimizu S-pulse xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Cerezo Osaka 1.3 – 1.1 Shimizu S-pulse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cerezo Osaka to win✓
44%
2.26
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cerezo Osaka / FT Cerezo Osaka✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.34
–
Form
Cerezo Osaka – last 6
LWWWWD
15 Aug
@ Avispa Fukuoka
0–3
L
8 Aug
vs Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
29 Jul
vs Borussia Dortmund
1–0
W
15 Jul
vs Tochigi City
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ FC Tokyo
3–1
W
30 May
vs FC Tokyo
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
LWWWLD
15 Aug
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Nagoya Grampus
1–0
W
18 Jul
@ Karlsruher SC
3–1
W
14 Jul
@ Polessya
3–1
W
6 Jun
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–3
L
31 May
vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cerezo Osaka and Shimizu S-pulse.
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
On our numbers Cerezo Osaka have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shimizu S-pulse 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Our predicted score is Cerezo Osaka 1–1 Shimizu S-pulse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse?
Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Kashima3
Tokyo Verdy0
Mito Hollyhock3
Kawasaki Frontale1
Yokohama F. Marinos1