Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✓65% · @1.73
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka preview and prediction
The match
Kashima host Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League on Saturday 22 August, with kick-off at 10:00 (WAT) at Kashima Soccer Stadium. Kashima are 1st with 45 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Avispa Fukuoka sit 10th on 21 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 24 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kashima's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Nagoya Grampus 2–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Avispa Fukuoka's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Cerezo Osaka 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Kashima and 0.8 for Avispa Fukuoka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 55% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kashima 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima65%fair 1.55 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Avispa Fukuoka14%fair 7.32 · @5.20
2.89Expected goals
2.05Kashima xG
0.84Avispa Fukuoka xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.0 – 0.8 Avispa Fukuoka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
65%
1.55
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.20
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.59
–
Form
Kashima – last 6
WWWWLW
15 Aug
vs Nagoya Grampus
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
4–3
W
15 Jul
vs Vegalta Sendai
5–0
W
6 Jun
vs Vissel Kobe
2–0
W
30 May
@ Vissel Kobe
0–5
L
23 May
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Avispa Fukuoka – last 6
WLWLWD
15 Aug
vs Cerezo Osaka
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
19 Jul
vs Osaka
3–2
W
11 Jul
vs Kitakyushu
1–2
L
6 Jun
@ JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
30 May
vs JEF United Chiba
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Avispa Fukuoka.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
On our numbers Kashima have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Avispa Fukuoka 14%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka?
Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Kashima Soccer Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fagiano Okayama0
Kyoto Sanga1
Cerezo Osaka1
Shimizu S-pulse0
Nagoya Grampus3
Gamba Osaka1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1
Vissel Kobe0