Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓68% · @1.53
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.38
Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot preview and prediction
The match
Saint Etienne host Clermont Foot in the Ligue 2 on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Geoffroy Guichard. Saint Etienne are 1st with 28 points from 12 games (top of the table), while Clermont Foot sit 15th on 11 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Saint Etienne's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Sochaux 3–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Clermont Foot's last 5: DDLWD Most recently they drew with Reims 0–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Saint Etienne and 0.5 for Clermont Foot. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Saint Etienne 68%, draw 21%, Clermont Foot 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Saint Etienne 1–0 Clermont Foot. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Saint Etienne68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @4.00
Clermont Foot11%fair 8.70 · @6.00
2.22Expected goals
1.71Saint Etienne xG
0.51Clermont Foot xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Saint Etienne 1.7 – 0.5 Clermont Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
68%
1.47
1.53
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.48 ▲
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.38
–
Form
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWLLD
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Venezia
4–3
W
29 Jul
vs Lausanne
4–0
W
22 Jul
@ Rangers
1–2
L
18 Jul
@ Servette FC
0–1
L
11 Jul
vs Biel-Bienne
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Clermont Foot – last 6
DDLWDW
8 Aug
vs Reims
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Grenoble
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Montpellier
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Andrézieux
4–1
W
15 Jul
vs Bourges Foot 18
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs Orleans
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Etienne and Clermont Foot.
What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
On our numbers Saint Etienne have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Clermont Foot 11%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
Our predicted score is Saint Etienne 1–0 Clermont Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?
Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy Guichard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
