Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.93 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetz to win ✗52% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Grenoble vs Metz preview and prediction
The match
Grenoble host Metz in the Ligue 2 on Friday 14 August, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade des Alpes. Grenoble are 17th with 11 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Metz sit 7th on 17 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Grenoble's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Dunkerque 2–4 away. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Metz's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Guingamp 2–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Metz arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 1.5 for Grenoble and 2.1 for Metz. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Grenoble 27%, draw 21%, Metz 52%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.93 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Grenoble 1–2 Metz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Grenoble27%fair 3.68 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.40
Metz52%fair 1.93 · @2.00
3.57Expected goals
1.48Grenoble xG
2.09Metz xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–19%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
0–26%
From our goals model: Grenoble 1.5 – 2.1 Metz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.73 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.30
Half-time result
Metz ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
33%
3.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Form
Grenoble – last 6
LLDLLW
8 Aug
@ Dunkerque
2–4
L
1 Aug
@ Andrézieux
2–3
L
1 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Estac Troyes
0–3
L
18 Jul
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
15 Jul
vs Villefranche
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Metz – last 6
WLWWWW
8 Aug
vs Guingamp
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Fortuna Sittard
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Sochaux
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Seraing United
5–0
W
11 Jul
vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Grenoble and Metz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Grenoble vs Metz?
On our numbers Grenoble have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Metz 52%.
How many goals will there be in Grenoble vs Metz?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Grenoble vs Metz?
Our predicted score is Grenoble 1–2 Metz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Grenoble vs Metz?
Grenoble vs Metz (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade des Alpes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
