Value bet: Laval to win @ 3.75 – our chance 30% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNantes to win ✗48% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.36
Laval vs Nantes preview and prediction
The match
Nantes travel to Stade Francis Le Basser in the Ligue 2 on Friday 14 August (19:45 WAT) to face Laval. Laval are 18th with 9 points from 12 games (in the bottom three), while Nantes sit 14th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Laval's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Rodez 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Nantes's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to RED Star FC 93 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Laval and 1.4 for Nantes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Laval 30%, draw 22%, Nantes 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Laval to win at 3.75 – 30% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Laval 1–1 Nantes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Laval30%fair 3.34 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Nantes48%fair 2.08 · @2.00
2.48Expected goals
1.05Laval xG
1.43Nantes xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Laval 1.0 – 1.4 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✗
48%
2.08
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.36
–
Form
Laval – last 6
LDWLWL
8 Aug
@ Rodez
1–3
L
31 Jul
@ Le Havre
1–1
D
30 Jul
vs Granville
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Concarneau
1–2
L
22 Jul
vs Avranches
2–1
W
18 Jul
@ Caen
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
LWLDLW
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Le Mans
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs La Roche VF
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Lorient
0–1
L
11 Jul
@ Fleury 91
5–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Laval and Nantes.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Laval vs Nantes?
On our numbers Laval have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nantes 48%.
How many goals will there be in Laval vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Laval vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Laval 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Laval vs Nantes?
Laval vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Francis Le Basser.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
