Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✗61% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.51
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Roda take on Jong PSV U21 on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion. Roda are 14th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Jong PSV U21 sit 17th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Roda's last 5: L-W-D-W-D. Most recently they lost to VVV Venlo 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jong PSV U21's last 5: L-D-L-W-D. Most recently they lost to Vitesse 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Roda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 March 2026, finished Roda 0–2 Jong PSV U21.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Roda and 0.8 for Jong PSV U21. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Roda 61%, draw 18%, Jong PSV U21 21%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roda to win – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.64, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Roda 1–0 Jong PSV U21. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Roda61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw18%fair 5.49 · @3.90
Jong PSV U2121%fair 4.84 · @4.20
2.56Expected goals
1.72Roda xG
0.84Jong PSV U21 xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Roda 1.7 – 0.8 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Roda to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
On our numbers Roda have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Jong PSV U21 21%.
How many goals will there be in Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
Our predicted score is Roda 1–0 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Roda vs Jong PSV U21?
Roda vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parkstad Limburg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
