Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Kras StadionFC Volendam vs Vitesse prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Volendam 1.9 – 1.7 Vitesse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
FC Volendam hold the edge on home soil with a 43% chance of winning, against 36% for Vitesse.
FC Volendam have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. Vitesse have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
We expect around 3.6 goals (1.9 for FC Volendam, 1.7 for Vitesse). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (9%), 2–1 (8%), 1–2 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.42.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | FC Volendam to win ✓ | 43% | 2.32 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 70% | 1.42 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 35% | 2.82 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT FC Volendam / FT FC Volendam ✓ | 26% | 3.83 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.00 | – |
Form
FC Volendam – last 6
| 3 Oct | @ Almere City FC | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Sep | vs VVV Venlo | 3–2 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ Jong AZ | 1–4 | L |
| 13 Sep | vs Den Bosch | 2–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | @ Emmen | 3–5 | L |
| 28 Aug | vs Dordrecht | 6–1 | W |
Vitesse – last 6
| 3 Oct | vs NAC Breda | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Heracles | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Jong PSV U21 | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Roda | 0–1 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs FC OSS | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Aug | @ Den Bosch | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Volendam and Vitesse.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Volendam vs Vitesse?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Volendam vs Vitesse?
On our numbers FC Volendam have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Vitesse 36%.
How many goals will there be in FC Volendam vs Vitesse?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Volendam vs Vitesse?
FC Volendam vs Vitesse (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Kras Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.