Value bet: VVV Venlo to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✓50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗71% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Jong Ajax take on VVV Venlo on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Sportpark De Toekomst. Jong Ajax are 18th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while VVV Venlo sit 2nd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Ajax's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Roda 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
VVV Venlo's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Roda 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
VVV Venlo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 March 2026, finished VVV Venlo 0–1 Jong Ajax.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.8 for Jong Ajax and 2.2 for VVV Venlo. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 71% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Ajax 31%, draw 19%, VVV Venlo 50%.
Both teams to score: yes (71%) at 1.33.
Value angle: VVV Venlo to win at 2.15 – 50% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Jong Ajax 1–2 VVV Venlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Ajax31%fair 3.20 · @2.75
Draw19%fair 5.24 · @3.80
VVV Venlo50%fair 2.01 · @2.15
4.00Expected goals
1.76Jong Ajax xG
2.24VVV Venlo xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–17%
2–27%
2–16%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.8 – 2.2 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 19% and VVV Venlo 50%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo?
Jong Ajax vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
