De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht preview and prediction
The match
De Graafschap host Jong Utrecht in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 9 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at De Vijverberg. De Graafschap are 1st with 0 points from 0 games (top of the table), while Jong Utrecht sit 20th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
De Graafschap's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with FC Eindhoven 2–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Jong Utrecht's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to VVV Venlo 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished De Graafschap 1–0 Jong Utrecht.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.4 for De Graafschap and 1.4 for Jong Utrecht. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 70%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: De Graafschap 59%, draw 19%, Jong Utrecht 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: De Graafschap 2–1 Jong Utrecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
De Graafschap59%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.30 · @4.20
Jong Utrecht22%fair 4.60 · @4.33
3.83Expected goals
2.41De Graafschap xG
1.42Jong Utrecht xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–26%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 2.4 – 1.4 Jong Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jong Utrecht 22%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 2–1 Jong Utrecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht?
De Graafschap vs Jong Utrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
