The Eerste Divisie sees Heracles take on Waalwijk on Friday 9 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Polman Stadion. Heracles are 16th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Waalwijk sit 12th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Heracles's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Helmond Sport 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Waalwijk's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Emmen 1–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.7 for Heracles and 1.2 for Waalwijk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 66%.
Our pre-match pick was Heracles to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Heracles 2–1 Waalwijk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heracles69%fair 1.45 · @1.53
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @4.33
Waalwijk13%fair 7.57 · @5.00
3.94Expected goals
2.74Heracles xG
1.20Waalwijk xG
66%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–15%
From our goals model: Heracles 2.7 – 1.2 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✓
69%
1.45
1.53 ▲
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✗
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.42
–
Form
Heracles – last 6
DWLWWW
2 Oct
@ Helmond Sport
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Vitesse
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–2
W
4 Sep
vs De Graafschap
5–0
W
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
DLWWWD
3 Oct
vs Emmen
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Roda
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs MVV
6–1
W
11 Sep
@ Jong Ajax
2–0
W
4 Sep
vs NAC Breda
4–2
W
28 Aug
vs Jong PSV U21
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and Waalwijk.
Our pick is Heracles to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Heracles vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers Heracles have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Waalwijk 13%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is Heracles 2–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs Waalwijk?
Heracles vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Polman Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
