Somalia vs Ivory Coast prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Somalia 0.2 – 1.3 Ivory Coast expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ivory Coast travel as clear favourites – 72% to win, against 13% for Somalia.
Somalia have taken 2 points from their last 3 matches (0W 2D 1L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Ivory Coast have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Ivory Coast come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.5 goals (0.2 for Somalia, 1.3 for Ivory Coast). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–1 (29%), 0–0 (22%), 0–2 (18%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.61.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ivory Coast to win ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.05 |
| Double chance | Ivory Coast or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 62% | 1.61 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ivory Coast / FT Ivory Coast ✗ | 38% | 2.60 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 29% | 3.49 | – |
Form
Somalia – last 3
| 25 Sep | @ Gambia | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Mauritius | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | vs Mauritius | 0–0 | D |
Ivory Coast – last 6
| 24 Sep | vs Ghana | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Jun | vs Norway | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jun | @ Curaçao | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Jun | @ Germany | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Jun | vs Ecuador | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Jun | @ France | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Somalia and Ivory Coast.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zambia | 6 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 |  Ivory Coast | 6 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 |  Sierra Leone | 6 | -5 | 5 |
| 4 |  Chad | 6 | -7 | 3 |
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Rwanda2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
On our numbers Somalia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Ivory Coast 72%.
How many goals will there be in Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
When is Somalia vs Ivory Coast?
Somalia vs Ivory Coast (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.