UEFA Nations League · Europe

Scotland

LWLDL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

FYR Macedonia

LLLLL

Scotland vs FYR Macedonia prediction & analysis

71%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultScotland to win75% · @1.18
Double chanceScotland or draw92% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–017% · fair 5.95

Win chances

Scotland75%fair 1.33 · @1.18
Draw17%fair 5.86 · @6.00
FYR Macedonia8%fair 13.05 · @17.00
2.54Expected goals
2.07Scotland xG
0.48FYR Macedonia xG
44%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–017%
1–016%
3–012%
2–18%
0–08%
1–18%

From our goals model: Scotland 2.1 – 0.5 FYR Macedonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Scotland are clear favourites at home with a 75% chance of winning, against 8% for FYR Macedonia.

Scotland have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. FYR Macedonia have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (2.1 for Scotland, 0.5 for FYR Macedonia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 44%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (17%), 1–0 (16%), 3–0 (12%).

In their last 1 meeting, Scotland have won 1, FYR Macedonia have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.42.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultScotland to win75%1.331.18
Double chanceScotland or draw92%1.081.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.781.40
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.341.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals50%1.991.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.421.40
Half-time resultScotland ahead at half-time52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Scotland / FT Scotland50%2.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–017%5.95–

Form

Scotland – last 6

LWLDLL
6 Octvs Slovenia1–2L
3 Oct@ FYR Macedonia2–0W
29 Sepvs Switzerland0–3L
26 Sep@ Slovenia0–0D
24 Junvs Brazil0–3L
19 Junvs Morocco0–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

FYR Macedonia – last 6

LLLLLD
6 Oct@ Switzerland0–3L
3 Octvs Scotland0–2L
29 Sep@ Slovenia0–2L
26 Sepvs Switzerland0–3L
1 Jun@ Türkiye0–4L
29 May@ Bosnia & Herzegovina0–0D
0.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Oct 2026FYR Macedonia v Scotland0–2

More UEFA Nations League predictions

Moldova Kazakhstan 362440 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.44 Serbia Germany 131573 2Germany to win 73%@1.28 Netherlands Greece 681814 1Netherlands to win 68%@1.42 Slovakia Faroe Islands 671816 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 Bulgaria Iceland 132463 X2Iceland or draw 87%@1.22 Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 72072 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 83%@1.22 Luxembourg Estonia 372439 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 83%@1.20 Andorra Gibraltar 612415 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 74%@1.34

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

On our numbers Scotland have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and FYR Macedonia 8%.

How many goals will there be in Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

When is Scotland vs FYR Macedonia?

Scotland vs FYR Macedonia (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.