Serbia
Germany
Serbia vs Germany prediction & analysis
Germany to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28
Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Serbia 0.7 – 2.1 Germany expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Germany travel as clear favourites – 73% to win, against 13% for Serbia.
Serbia have taken 0 points from their last 6 matches (0W 0D 6L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 2.7 per game. Germany have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Germany come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (0.7 for Serbia, 2.1 for Germany). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 61%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 0–2 (14%), 0–1 (13%), 0–3 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Serbia have won 0, Germany have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Germany to win at a 73% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.38. For a bigger price, Under 3.5 goals at 1.80 is our value angle (60% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Germany to win | 73% | 1.38 | 1.28 |
| Double chance | Germany or draw | 87% | 1.14 | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | 1.11 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.63 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Germany ahead at half-time | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Germany / FT Germany | 46% | 2.15 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 | 14% | 7.30 | – |
Form
Serbia – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Netherlands | 1–2 | L |
| 1 Oct | @ Germany | 0–2 | L |
| 27 Sep | vs Netherlands | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Sep | vs Greece | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Jun | @ Mexico | 1–5 | L |
| 31 May | @ Cape Verde Islands | 0–3 | L |
Germany – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Greece | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Oct | vs Serbia | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Greece | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Sep | @ Netherlands | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Jun | vs Paraguay | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jun | @ Ecuador | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 1 Oct 2026 | Germany v Serbia | 2–0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
Moldova
Kazakhstan
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
69%@1.44
Netherlands
Greece
1Netherlands to win
68%@1.42
Slovakia
Faroe Islands
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
76%@1.22
Bulgaria
Iceland
X2Iceland or draw
87%@1.22
Liechtenstein
Azerbaijan
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
83%@1.22
Luxembourg
Estonia
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
83%@1.20
Andorra
Gibraltar
U2.5Under 2.5 goals
74%@1.34
Slovenia
Switzerland
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.25
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Serbia vs Germany?
Our pick is Germany to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Serbia vs Germany?
On our numbers Serbia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Germany 73%.
How many goals will there be in Serbia vs Germany?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
When is Serbia vs Germany?
Serbia vs Germany (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.