UEFA Nations League · Europe

Netherlands

WDWDD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Greece

DDWWL

Netherlands vs Greece prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Netherlands to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.42

7/10Rating
1.42Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNetherlands to win68% · @1.42
Double chanceNetherlands or draw86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–013% · fair 7.93

Win chances

Netherlands68%fair 1.47 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @5.00
Greece14%fair 7.26 · @6.25
2.80Expected goals
2.04Netherlands xG
0.76Greece xG
54%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%

From our goals model: Netherlands 2.0 – 0.8 Greece expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Netherlands are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 14% for Greece.

Netherlands have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (3W 3D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Greece have 9 points from their last 6 (2W 3D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Netherlands, 0.8 for Greece). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 54%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).

In their last 1 meeting, Netherlands have won 0, Greece have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Netherlands to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.42 is close to our fair price of 1.47.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNetherlands to win68%1.471.42
Double chanceNetherlands or draw86%1.161.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.851.73
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.271.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals57%1.771.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.541.53
Half-time resultNetherlands ahead at half-time48%2.08–
Half-time / full-timeHT Netherlands / FT Netherlands43%2.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–013%7.93–

Form

Netherlands – last 6

WDWDDW
4 Octvs Serbia2–1W
1 Oct@ Greece2–2D
27 Sep@ Serbia2–1W
24 Sepvs Germany1–1D
30 Junvs Morocco1–1D
26 Jun@ Tunisia3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Greece – last 6

DDWWLD
4 Octvs Germany0–0D
1 Octvs Netherlands2–2D
27 Sep@ Germany1–0W
24 Sep@ Serbia2–1W
7 Junvs Italy0–1L
4 Jun@ Sweden2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Greece v Netherlands2–2

More UEFA Nations League predictions

Moldova Kazakhstan 362440 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 69%@1.44 Serbia Germany 131573 2Germany to win 73%@1.28 Slovakia Faroe Islands 671816 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.22 Bulgaria Iceland 132463 X2Iceland or draw 87%@1.22 Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 72072 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 83%@1.22 Luxembourg Estonia 372439 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 83%@1.20 Andorra Gibraltar 612415 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 74%@1.34 Slovenia Switzerland 162361 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Greece?

Our pick is Netherlands to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Netherlands vs Greece?

On our numbers Netherlands have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Greece 14%.

How many goals will there be in Netherlands vs Greece?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

When is Netherlands vs Greece?

Netherlands vs Greece (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.